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Red52
697817.3
77579.0
415223.2
Blue43
130516.6
68545.3
238619.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455110203040607080905243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.0
21.021.1
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.8
red by 3.8
19.41.3
22.621.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Second
6978
#17
17.30.0
12.612.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
red by 0.7
16.61.4
17.516.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
7757
#25
9.00.0
8.18.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End0.7
red by 3.7
6854
#33
5.31.4
5.64.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned