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Red53
83496.6
238619.4
909826.6
Blue90
872917.4
502426.7
497621.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56712040801005390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.1
25.425.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
blue by 0.1
26.70.9
25.226.1
Auto12.8
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Second
19.40.1
20.120.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
blue by 2.2
4976
#15
21.50.9
20.221.1
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
8349
#30
6.60.1
6.76.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.4
End1.9
blue by 10.8
8729
#22
17.40.9
17.118.0
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsEarned