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Red21
40156.6
497621.5
447620.6
Blue55
74768.5
130516.6
697817.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4647203040506070802155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#15
21.52.4
14.912.6
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 4.3
6978
#17
17.30.9
16.917.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
4476
#13
20.62.4
19.917.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 4.0
16.60.9
14.515.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End1.4
Third
4015
#28
6.62.4
7.55.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End0.7
blue by 1.8
7476
#29
8.50.9
10.411.3
Auto6.5
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed