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Red51
111417.4
434318.1
748016.5
Blue80
495111.5
909826.6
270623.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56682040801001201405180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#14
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 8.5
26.60.2
26.126.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
17.40.0
17.417.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 6.0
2706
#12
23.40.2
22.823.1
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
7480
#31
16.50.0
16.516.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2
red by 5.0
4951
#18
11.50.2
11.011.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0