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Red58
697817.3
958010.1
497621.5
Blue64
111417.4
434318.1
748016.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53582030407080901005864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#15
21.50.2
21.421.5
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
red by 3.5
4343
#14
18.10.2
18.118.3
Auto6.4
Teleop11.0
End0.7
Second
6978
#17
17.30.2
17.117.3
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 0.1
17.40.2
17.417.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Third
9580
#11
10.10.2
10.010.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 6.4
7480
#31
16.50.2
16.516.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.0
End0.2