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Red104
205647.2
403936.2
68545.3
Blue60
495111.5
909826.6
270623.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1015920408012014010460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.4
46.446.8
Auto18.9
Teleop25.2
End3.1
red by 20.6
26.60.0
25.625.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
Second
36.20.4
35.335.7
Auto11.4
Teleop23.7
End1.1
red by 12.8
2706
#12
23.40.0
22.422.4
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Third
6854
#33
5.30.4
4.54.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.4
End1.1
blue by 6.2
4951
#18
11.50.0
10.610.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0