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Red78
270623.4
909826.6
495111.5
Blue46
447620.6
872917.4
238619.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656450607080907846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.4
25.626.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.4
End3.1
red by 6.0
4476
#13
20.60.3
20.920.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
2706
#12
23.40.4
22.422.8
Auto10.6
Teleop11.6
End1.2
red by 4.0
19.40.3
19.719.4
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End1.8
Third
4951
#18
11.50.4
10.511.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 5.8
8729
#22
17.40.3
17.617.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.8
End1.5