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Red30
685915.3
354314.3
95896.3
Blue45
434324.7
49929.5
68648.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28460102040506070803045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6859
#18
15.30.1
14.915.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
blue by 9.4
24.70.1
18.718.7
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
3543
#25
14.30.1
9.09.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End0.3
red by 4.8
4992
#29
9.50.1
12.712.8
Auto5.2
Teleop2.8
End1.6
Third
9589
#32
6.30.1
3.84.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 2.3
6864
#24
8.60.1
7.97.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed