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Red39
406916.8
95896.3
651416.5
Blue44
588517.7
68648.6
611011.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413602060801001201403944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#20
16.80.2
18.118.3
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 0.9
5885
#15
17.71.0
16.717.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Second
6514
#19
16.50.2
14.314.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.7
End1.2
red by 5.4
6110
#14
11.10.6
8.59.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
9589
#32
6.30.2
3.73.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.7
blue by 2.3
6864
#24
8.60.6
7.78.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed