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Red50
403937.9
747612.6
68648.6
Blue51
540922.0
775712.4
270811.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723902060801001205051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.8
41.040.3
Auto14.1
Teleop22.2
End1.6
red by 15.9
22.00.7
18.018.7
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
Second
7476
#16
12.60.8
12.812.1
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 0.3
7757
#21
12.40.4
9.710.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
6864
#24
8.60.8
7.46.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 2.6
11.20.4
11.812.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed