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Red50
611011.1
403937.9
567210.1
Blue54
201316.3
406916.8
415230.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66724060801001205054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.91.0
38.937.9
Auto14.1
Teleop22.2
End1.6
red by 7.8
30.11.3
28.427.1
Auto12.3
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Second
6110
#14
11.11.0
12.311.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 5.7
4069
#20
16.81.3
18.116.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
5672
#30
10.11.5
9.68.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 6.2
2013
#11
16.31.3
17.716.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed