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Red47
540922.0
748020.2
611011.1
Blue31
201316.3
873112.0
131016.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594702040801004731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.4
20.620.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
red by 5.2
1310
#13
16.80.8
17.016.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Second
7480
#12
20.20.3
20.019.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 3.9
2013
#11
16.30.8
16.315.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Third
6110
#14
11.10.3
11.210.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 0.9
8731
#31
12.00.8
10.49.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed