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Red75
86526.1
540922.0
872920.1
Blue70
685915.3
78121.2
131016.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725602040801001207570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#1
26.10.8
24.225.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.4
End2.2
red by 4.9
781
#10
21.20.4
20.520.9
Auto10.8
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
22.00.9
20.221.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
red by 5.2
1310
#13
16.80.4
16.116.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Third
8729
#22
20.10.8
19.019.8
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 4.8
6859
#18
15.30.4
15.616.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed