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Red80
270628.1
68648.6
293525.6
Blue44
588517.7
270811.2
685915.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70480204060801001201408044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.3
27.627.8
Auto12.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 10.4
5885
#15
17.70.3
18.418.1
Auto6.7
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Second
25.60.3
25.125.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 10.4
6859
#18
15.30.3
16.015.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End1.0
Third
6864
#24
8.60.3
8.18.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 2.6
11.20.3
12.011.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.3