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Red69
270628.1
68648.6
293525.6
Blue98
540922.0
415230.1
133413.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69706080906998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.0
28.028.1
Auto12.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 2.0
30.10.5
29.530.0
Auto12.3
Teleop11.4
End6.3
Second
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 3.7
22.00.5
21.321.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End8.1
Third
6864
#24
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End0.7
blue by 4.7
1334
#26
13.30.6
12.613.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.6
End2.3