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Red56
771217.7
260917.1
201316.0
Blue53
293521.7
55969.1
78117.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47350204060801005653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.0
10.311.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
blue by 4.0
21.72.0
14.116.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
Second
17.11.7
13.515.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
blue by 0.3
781
#14
17.42.0
11.513.6
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Third
2013
#18
16.01.0
17.018.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
red by 6.9
5596
#11
9.12.0
7.19.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed