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Red61
56899.3
293521.7
136011.7
Blue31
128516.4
87317.9
68665.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413202060806131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.72.0
16.218.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
red by 5.4
16.40.1
11.811.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Second
1360
#23
11.72.0
10.512.6
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 3.8
8731
#17
7.90.1
9.79.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Third
5689
#25
9.32.0
9.211.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 3.5
6866
#16
5.80.1
8.28.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed