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Red39
790211.7
263414.0
956910.4
Blue22
61108.7
60705.9
56899.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382902060801003922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#12
14.00.6
13.814.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 4.6
5689
#25
9.30.5
13.713.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Second
7902
#22
11.70.4
10.611.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
red by 3.0
6110
#10
8.70.5
8.17.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Third
10.40.4
8.99.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 4.5
6070
#27
5.90.5
5.85.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed