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Red103
540622.6
35439.7
546028.0
Blue13
503610.9
790211.7
55969.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663202040608010012010313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.8
26.627.4
Auto12.3
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 16.3
7902
#22
11.70.5
12.211.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Second
22.60.8
21.222.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 11.6
5036
#13
10.90.5
11.411.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.5
Third
3543
#19
9.70.9
8.19.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 0.6
5596
#11
9.10.5
9.69.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.0