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Red81
540622.6
35439.7
546028.0
Blue55
771217.7
78117.4
87317.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68432060801001208155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
27.427.7
Auto12.3
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 10.2
17.70.2
17.317.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
22.60.3
22.022.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 5.1
781
#14
17.40.2
17.017.2
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Third
3543
#19
9.70.3
9.09.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 1.7
8731
#17
7.90.2
7.57.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4