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Red60
58347.9
755821.2
132519.4
Blue40
790213.1
77128.4
760310.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573102040801001206040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.2
21.021.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 8.1
7902
#23
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Second
19.40.2
19.319.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 9.2
7603
#12
10.20.2
10.110.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
5834
#28
7.90.2
7.87.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 0.5
7712
#20
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.1