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Red16
61357.9
50315.0
131010.0
Blue29
571911.9
285215.7
406917.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4042202530354550551629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#16
10.02.9
14.011.0
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 7.8
17.81.0
15.114.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Second
6135
#25
7.92.9
11.28.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 7.8
15.71.0
11.210.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
5031
#21
5.02.9
11.38.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 6.8
11.91.0
11.210.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed