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Red42
69775.8
571911.9
755821.2
Blue41
219814.8
760310.2
95627.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332610203040504241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.9
14.715.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 6.4
14.81.3
9.510.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Second
11.90.9
9.110.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
red by 1.6
7603
#12
10.21.3
7.08.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
6977
#18
5.80.9
4.95.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 1.6
9562
#17
7.41.3
7.58.8
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed