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Red10
76597.4
92635.9
85746.8
Blue15
96597.2
61413.9
755821.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32381020501015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7.42.4
10.68.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.0
blue by 13.8
21.22.1
15.613.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
8574
#29
6.82.4
9.36.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.7
blue by 0.4
9659
#15
7.29.5
16.57.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Third
9263
#24
5.92.4
9.57.1
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.5
red by 2.0
6141
#22
3.92.1
9.37.2
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed