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Red38
1889.6
85746.8
219814.8
Blue43
406917.8
61408.5
61357.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323310152025354045503843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.2
11.911.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 3.0
17.81.6
14.115.6
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Second
188
#9
9.60.2
9.59.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.1
red by 1.1
6140
#19
8.51.6
9.010.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6
Third
8574
#29
6.80.2
8.28.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.7
blue by 1.1
6135
#25
7.91.5
5.77.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned