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Red40
571911.9
77128.4
61413.9
Blue43
406917.8
58347.9
96215.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3028010204050604043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.90.7
11.310.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
blue by 6.0
17.81.1
15.616.7
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Second
7712
#20
8.40.7
9.79.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 0.5
5834
#28
7.91.1
4.85.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Third
6141
#22
3.90.7
5.75.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 1.1
9621
#27
5.01.1
5.36.3
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed