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Red32
61413.9
131010.0
503610.3
Blue49
219814.8
132519.4
571911.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234701030406070803249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#13
10.30.8
9.19.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 9.2
19.40.9
16.917.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Second
1310
#16
10.00.8
10.010.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 4.9
14.80.9
12.513.4
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
6141
#22
3.90.8
5.05.7
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 7.9
11.90.9
10.611.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed