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Red32
58347.9
285215.7
92635.9
Blue15
95627.4
61408.5
131010.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303401020405060703215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.4
14.815.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 5.8
1310
#16
10.01.4
10.89.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Second
5834
#28
7.90.4
6.67.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 0.6
6140
#19
8.51.4
10.89.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6
Third
9263
#24
5.90.4
5.96.3
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.5
blue by 1.5
9562
#17
7.41.4
8.97.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed