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Red33
61408.5
219814.8
503610.3
Blue13
752014.1
58347.9
61357.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363215202530404550553313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.7
9.58.9
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 0.7
14.11.8
9.67.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
5036
#13
10.30.7
11.010.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 2.3
5834
#28
7.91.8
11.69.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Third
6140
#19
8.50.7
11.310.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6
red by 0.6
6135
#25
7.91.8
8.36.5
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed