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Red56
92628.0
755821.2
503212.1
Blue19
96215.0
61357.9
132519.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393401020305060705619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.9
17.718.6
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 1.8
19.41.0
18.217.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Second
5032
#14
12.10.9
10.211.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.7
red by 4.2
6135
#25
7.91.0
7.66.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Third
9262
#11
8.00.9
6.87.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 3.1
9621
#27
5.01.0
5.64.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed