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Red18
58347.9
92628.0
50315.0
Blue36
503610.3
571911.9
92635.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213101040506070801836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9262
#11
8.00.1
7.77.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 3.8
11.90.6
11.311.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Second
5834
#28
7.90.2
7.16.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 2.3
5036
#13
10.30.6
9.710.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
5031
#21
5.00.1
5.25.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 0.9
9263
#24
5.90.6
5.45.9
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed