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Red20
77128.4
58347.9
61408.5
Blue55
131010.0
760310.2
755821.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254202060802055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6140
#19
8.50.8
9.48.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6
blue by 12.7
21.20.7
18.619.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
7712
#20
8.40.8
8.07.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 1.8
7603
#12
10.20.7
8.39.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
5834
#28
7.90.8
6.96.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 2.0
1310
#16
10.00.7
8.89.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned