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Red79
58347.9
755821.2
132519.4
Blue38
96215.0
406917.8
285215.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53392060801007938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.7
20.421.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 3.4
17.80.0
17.417.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Second
19.40.7
18.619.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 3.7
15.70.0
15.315.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Third
5834
#28
7.90.7
7.17.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 2.9
9621
#27
5.00.0
4.64.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4