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Red70
285215.7
406917.8
96215.0
Blue75
790213.1
77128.4
760310.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433202060801007075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.4
17.417.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
red by 4.7
7902
#23
13.10.3
12.712.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Second
15.70.4
15.315.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 5.5
7603
#12
10.20.3
9.810.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
9621
#27
5.00.4
4.65.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 3.4
7712
#20
8.40.3
8.08.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.1