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Red26
490319.7
99917.1
373923.4
Blue58
906215.6
99927.1
124126.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584901001502002658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
blue by 3.5
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Second
4903
#11
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 4.1
9062
#14
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
9991
#17
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Level
9992
#12
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody odds15%Melody odds
Ensemble
5%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds