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Red30
978518.9
957512.4
85748.0
Blue31
66328.1
69753.7
220027.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323901020506070803031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.91.1
12.711.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
blue by 8.2
27.10.4
19.419.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Second
9575
#17
12.41.1
9.88.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
red by 4.4
6632
#24
8.10.4
9.99.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Third
8574
#16
8.00.6
7.16.4
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
red by 4.3
6975
#27
3.70.2
5.25.0
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed