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Red63
316130.9
957512.4
760310.3
Blue22
68669.3
614012.8
926213.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47270204060806322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.6
21.122.7
Auto13.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 17.1
9262
#14
13.80.3
9.39.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
9575
#17
12.41.6
8.910.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 0.3
6140
#25
12.80.3
11.611.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
7603
#21
10.30.9
9.810.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
red by 1.0
6866
#23
9.30.3
5.65.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed