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Red82
755826.1
492024.3
926213.8
Blue30
63979.6
85748.0
85413.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67270204060801001208230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.7
25.926.7
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End2.6
red by 12.7
854
#26
13.40.3
12.412.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Second
4920
#10
24.31.2
19.720.9
Auto12.4
Teleop10.7
End1.2
red by 14.6
6397
#18
9.60.5
10.810.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Third
9262
#14
13.80.7
10.311.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 5.8
8574
#16
8.00.3
6.36.0
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed