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Red70
61414.6
316130.9
494625.4
Blue42
571922.2
591218.1
66328.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66432060801001207042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.2
28.127.9
Auto13.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
red by 8.7
22.20.3
19.619.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Second
25.40.2
25.825.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 7.3
18.10.5
16.215.7
Auto9.5
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Third
6141
#22
4.60.1
3.02.9
Auto0.7
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 3.4
6632
#24
8.10.4
6.25.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed