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Red46
69753.7
219818.8
61414.6
Blue26
957512.4
63979.6
760310.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27360102040506070804626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2198
#11
18.80.9
17.418.3
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 6.3
9575
#17
12.40.9
11.210.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Second
6141
#22
4.60.9
2.93.8
Auto0.7
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 5.7
7603
#21
10.30.7
10.09.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Third
6975
#27
3.70.9
4.95.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.1
blue by 6.0
6397
#18
9.61.0
10.39.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed