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Red55
12465.8
492024.3
66328.1
Blue27
926213.8
74759.8
957512.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422801020506070805527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#10
24.30.5
16.817.3
Auto12.4
Teleop10.7
End1.2
red by 10.5
9262
#14
13.80.0
8.48.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
6632
#24
8.10.5
9.39.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 4.4
9575
#17
12.40.0
9.89.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
Third
1246
#19
5.80.5
10.110.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
blue by 4.0
7475
#20
9.80.0
8.98.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed