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Red43
978518.9
755826.1
68669.3
Blue109
316130.9
614012.8
492024.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5971304050809010043109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.3
26.326.0
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End2.6
blue by 4.8
30.90.7
29.330.0
Auto13.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Second
18.90.3
19.118.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
blue by 5.3
4920
#10
24.30.8
22.523.3
Auto12.4
Teleop10.7
End1.2
Third
6866
#23
9.30.3
9.59.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 3.5
6140
#25
12.80.7
11.211.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7