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Red52
697824.3
136018.1
95257.1
Blue46
702217.5
750914.2
699215.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4041203050605246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.0
17.818.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 6.8
7022
#16
17.50.6
16.116.8
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
1360
#10
18.11.0
13.314.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 2.7
6992
#12
15.41.1
10.311.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
9525
#29
7.11.0
6.57.4
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 7.1
7509
#30
14.21.1
9.911.0
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed