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Red60
447628.4
375610.6
808920.9
Blue28
77214.6
490318.4
67257.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464730405060706028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.7
23.324.0
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End2.6
red by 10.0
4903
#15
18.41.4
14.513.1
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
Second
20.90.7
14.715.4
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End1.4
red by 6.3
772
#21
14.61.4
15.113.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
3756
#13
10.61.2
6.57.7
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
red by 3.7
6725
#27
7.01.4
10.89.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed