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Red56
95257.1
591224.9
270222.4
Blue57
87658.5
699215.4
491728.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744020801001205657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#11
24.90.2
20.720.9
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 3.3
28.21.0
23.324.4
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
Second
2702
#14
22.40.2
22.422.7
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
red by 7.0
6992
#12
15.41.7
11.012.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
Third
9525
#29
7.10.2
7.37.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 1.4
8765
#28
8.51.0
7.28.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed