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Red61
956215.1
490318.4
699215.4
Blue71
77228.6
87658.5
702217.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493602060801006171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#15
18.41.2
17.218.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End-0.2
red by 0.9
7022
#16
17.50.5
18.518.9
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
Second
6992
#12
15.41.2
15.016.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End2.4
red by 6.8
7722
#17
8.60.5
6.77.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Third
9562
#19
15.10.9
10.911.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 6.6
8765
#28
8.50.5
8.99.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned