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Red60
260922.0
95257.1
906221.4
Blue52
591224.9
375610.6
136018.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49582040801006052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
20.121.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 3.0
5912
#11
24.90.0
24.124.1
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Second
9062
#18
21.40.9
19.620.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
red by 3.3
1360
#10
18.10.0
17.117.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Third
9525
#29
7.10.9
5.46.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
blue by 3.5
3756
#13
10.60.0
10.510.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed