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Red44
375610.6
270222.4
607013.2
Blue60
956215.1
447628.4
95257.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5052203040607080904460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#14
22.40.1
22.322.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.3
blue by 6.1
28.40.9
27.328.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.9
End2.6
Second
6070
#23
13.20.1
12.712.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 1.9
9562
#19
15.10.9
13.414.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
3756
#13
10.60.1
10.510.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0
red by 3.5
9525
#29
7.10.9
6.27.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed