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Red57
591224.9
702217.5
966310.6
Blue45
750914.2
373913.8
697824.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57593040507080905745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#11
24.90.4
24.124.4
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 0.6
24.30.6
24.724.2
Auto9.4
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Second
7022
#16
17.50.4
17.417.7
Auto8.1
Teleop8.3
End1.1
red by 3.3
7509
#30
14.20.7
14.914.2
Auto8.2
Teleop4.3
End1.7
Third
9663
#22
10.60.4
10.110.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 3.2
3739
#25
13.80.6
13.813.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed