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Red60
77214.6
591224.9
260922.0
Blue64
491728.2
906221.4
375610.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696540506080901006064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#11
24.90.0
25.024.9
Auto11.3
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 3.3
28.20.1
28.028.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.8
End2.0
Second
22.00.0
22.022.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.4
End2.1
red by 0.6
9062
#18
21.40.1
21.121.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Third
772
#21
14.60.0
14.714.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End1.8
red by 4.0
3756
#13
10.60.1
10.410.5
Auto2.6
Teleop6.1
End2.0